Nate Silver S Model Gives Trump Same Odds Of Winning In 2020 As It Did In 2016
Statistics-driven site FiveThirtyEight published the forecast on Wednesday. Its founder, Nate Silver, noted the model’s prediction matched results shown in FiveThirtyEight’s final forecast prior to Election Day in 2016, when Trump’s win contradicted political polling estimates released during his campaign against Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. “Coincidentally, these are the exact same odds as in our final forecast in 2016,” wrote Silver, a statistician who specializes in sports and election analysis, on Twitter Wednesday morning....