AccuScore has the Suns as fairly heavy 68.3 percent favorites to win, a number that would warrant a -215 price on the money-line. Books are offering the Suns at -170, suggesting a 63 percent chance to win.
Those numbers combined with the fact Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last seven games at home presents some value on the money-line in this case. However, bettors are generally averse to laying such a high price.
AccuScore Best Bet: The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 100-94 and there’s about a 62 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 209.5, a 2-star (out of four) AccuScore Hot Trend. The total has gone UNDER in the Bucks’ last five games. Although Phoenix has a few advantages in the simulated box score including the projected turnovers, Milwaukee does average 5-6 more assists than Phoenix. In a close game, better ball movement can be the key to converting on key, late-game possessions.
Projected Leaders Brandon Knight: 17 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds, 1 steal, 3 TOs Eric Bledsoe: 18 points, 6 assists, 6 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 block, 3 TOs
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