NBA Pick of the Day - Minnesota Timberwolves @ Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets fans will get their first chance this season to watch rookie Andrew Wiggins in-person on Wednesday night as the Minnesota Timberwolves come to town. Following the offseason trade that sent Kevin Love to Cleveland, it’s fair to assume this matchup will be one-sided.
AccuScore has the Nets as solid 59.5 percent favorites to win. Brooklyn has a 65 percent chance of covering the 5.5-point spread offered at several Vegas shops, making it a two-star (out of four) hot trend pick.
Although Minnesota’s probability of a close win (four points or fewer) is fairly comparable to Brooklyn’s, the disparity in probability of a big win (10 points or more) indicates a blowout win for the home team. The Nets win by 10 points or more in more than half of their simulated wins.
AccuScore Boxscore: One category in the simulated boxscore stands out: free throw percentage. The Nets are projected to be close to 80 percent compared to 70 for the Wolves. Any chance at keeping this game close means hitting from the charity stripe – especially for key players like Nikola Pekovic and Ricky Rubio, both of whom are projected to go to the free throw line the most for Minnesota.
Projected Leaders Thaddeus Young: 14 points (48% FG), 6 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal Kevin Martin: 14 points (41% FG), 3 rebounds, 2 assists
Joe Johnson: 19 points (46% FG), 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal Brook Lopez: 18 points (52% FG), 7 rebounds, 2 blocks
Supporting Trend: The home team has won 20 of the last 22 matchups between these two sides, winning by an average of 6-7 points.
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