AccuScore data leans more heavily towards the road team than does Vegas. As opposed to the 41 percent chance Vegas odds give Golden State, AccuScore simulations indicate a 50.2 percent chance of winning. AccuScore would have listed the Warriors as slight favorites.
On the spread, the MGM Mirage has Portland listed as 3-point favorites. The Warriors covered a 3-point spread in 56.7 percent of AccuScore simulated games. The average score after 10,000 simulations is 102-101, in favor of Golden State.
Vegas has one side as the favorite, AccuScore has the other. The difference between a 41 percent chance and greater-than-50 is appealing. The +145 pick is attractive considering AccuScore would have it at EVEN.
Not All Offense: Despite being known for their offense, the Warriors were fourth in the league last year in opponents’ shooting percentage (43.9 percent). The Blazers are projected to shoot 43 percent from the field tonight.
Projected Leaders Stephen Curry: 24 points (44 FG %), nine assists, five rebounds Klay Thompson: 18 points (41 FG %), four rebounds, two assists
LaMarcus Aldridge: 21 points (44 FG %), 10 rebounds, one block Damian Lillard: 16 points (41 FG %), five assists, three rebounds
Supporting Trends: The Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games on the road, and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games when playing the Blazers.
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